ANALYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF INTEREST RATE ON MONEY SUPPLY AND INVESTMENT IN NIGERIA: A VECTOR ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (VECM) APPROACH
Abstract:The research analyzed the influence of
interest rate on money supply and investment in Nigeria. It specifically
analyzed the influence of working capital, return on investment, earning per
share and gross operating profit on interest rate in Nigeria. Data was
extracted from the Annual financial report of a manufacturing company using
both descriptive research method and covariance while Autoregressive
Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) were used
to analyze the relationship which exist among the variables. The result of the
findings showed that there is cointegration which implies aa long run
relationship among the variables. The result revealed that Earning Per Share
(EPS) had no significant impact on interest rate manufacturing firms in
Nigeria. Furthermore, the result depicted that gross operating profit has a
significant and positive impact on interest rate of manufacturing firms in
Nigeria. The research recommends that financial managers increase their money
supply and ensure that it is properly managed in order to enhance their
investment, thus strengthening firm profitability. Furthermore, we suggest that
financial managers should increase investment in working capital to accelerate
their productivity so that they can also improve the profitability of the
firms.